Bagley is a Democratic stronghold. About 94% of voters here vote Democratic and 6% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Bagley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bagley, ~65% vote Democratic, ~4% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bagley compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bagley is the most Democratic-leaning.
Bagley runs about 90 points more Democratic than Michigan as a whole. Michigan is roughly evenly split, and Bagley sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Why Bagley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bagley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Bagley is about 6%, about 67 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Bagley have never been married, above 90% of neighborhoods. Bagley runs against the grain of Michigan, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bagley, Detroit, MI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bagley looks the way it does
Turnout in Bagley sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Pembroke, Detroit, MI D+89
- Fitzgerald, Detroit, MI D+88
- Eight Mile Wyoming, Detroit, MI D+88
- Harmony Village, Detroit, MI D+87
- Winship, Detroit, MI D+88
- Martin Park, Detroit, MI D+80
- Belmont, Detroit, MI D+87
- Greenfield, Detroit, MI D+87
- Crary-St Marys, Detroit, MI D+87
- Winter Halter, Detroit, MI D+87
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Garnsey, Valley Village, CA D+35
- Byberry, Philadelphia, PA R+12
- Blueberry Hill-Brigadoon-Stoneybrook, Lexington, KY D+28
- Cedar Hills-Cedar Mill, Portland, OR D+49
- Calallen, Corpus Christi, TX R+36
- Kamms Corner, Cleveland, OH D+22
- Eastside, Riverside, CA D+31
- Buffalo, Las Vegas, NV D+18
- North Valley San Diego, Oceanside, CA D+10
- Lake View, Paterson, NJ D+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.