Baraga County leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Baraga County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baraga County, ~33% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baraga County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Baraga County leans more Republican than 3 of 5 neighbors.
Baraga County runs about 12 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Baraga County. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+35), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Baraga County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baraga County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in Baraga County hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Michigan average of 26%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Baraga County, MI sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Baraga County looks the way it does
Turnout in Baraga County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Houghton County, MI D+5
- Ontonagon County, MI R+26
- Keweenaw County, MI Even
- Iron County, MI R+24
- Marquette County, MI Even
- Florence County, WI R+41
- Dickinson County, MI R+25
- Vilas County, WI R+18
- Gogebic County, MI R+14
- Forest County, WI R+33
Counties with Similar Populations
- Harrison County, MO R+64
- Lake County, OR R+61
- Murray County, MN R+54
- Franklin City, VA D+32
- Dawes County, NE R+39
- Clay County, KS R+56
- Oscoda County, MI R+44
- Hamilton County, TX R+69
- Lafayette County, FL R+65
- San Miguel County, CO D+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.