Barnes Corners, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Barnes Corners

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Barnes Corners is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.

 

About 56% of adults in Barnes Corners typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Barnes Corners, ~13% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Barnes Corners compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Barnes Corners leans more Republican than 84 of 90 neighbors.

Barnes Corners runs about 65 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Barnes Corners is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Barnes Corners leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Barnes Corners, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Barnes Corners votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Barnes Corners runs about 65 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Barnes Corners is about 96%, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Barnes Corners are family households, above 76% of cities.

Developed land and Republican lean

Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Barnes Corners, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Barnes Corners looks the way it does

Turnout in Barnes Corners sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.