Barnstead leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 87% of adults in Barnstead typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Barnstead, ~32% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Barnstead compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Barnstead leans more Republican than 87 of 96 neighbors.
Barnstead runs about 28 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, and Barnstead sits clearly on the Republican side.
Why Barnstead leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Barnstead, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 86% of households in Barnstead are family households, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Barnstead runs against the grain of New Hampshire, a Republican-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Barnstead, NH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Barnstead looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Barnstead own their home, about 8 points above the New Hampshire average of 82%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Center Barnstead, NH R+25
- South Barnstead, NH R+22
- Pittsfield, NH R+19
- Loudon Center, NH R+17
- Gilmanton Iron Works, NH R+10
- Strafford, NH R+18
- Alton, NH R+22
- Chichester, NH R+8
- Epsom, NH R+8
- Northwood, NH R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Town Pump, NY R+26
- Tampico, IL R+42
- Holly Springs, TX R+37
- Flat Rock, IN R+62
- West Bend, IA R+49
- Blairstown, IA R+44
- Gowrie, IA R+46
- Arapahoe, NC R+34
- Enfield, IL R+67
- Rudolph, OH R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.