Strafford leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 82% of adults in Strafford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Strafford, ~34% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Strafford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Strafford leans more Republican than 77 of 101 neighbors.
Strafford runs about 21 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, and Strafford sits clearly on the Republican side.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Strafford. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+20) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Strafford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Strafford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Strafford are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Strafford runs against the grain of New Hampshire, a Republican-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Strafford, NH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Strafford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Strafford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Strafford own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Northwood, NH R+8
- Center Strafford, NH R+20
- West Nottingham, NH R+16
- South Barnstead, NH R+22
- Barrington, NH R+17
- Barnstead, NH R+25
- Pittsfield, NH R+19
- Deerfield Parade, NH R+4
- Deerfield, NH R+4
- Nottingham, NH R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bedias, TX R+67
- Bradford, VT Even
- Chester, CA R+19
- Dane, WI R+9
- Rockville, MN R+44
- Salisbury, MO R+54
- Minneapolis, KS R+57
- Clancy, MT R+26
- Kahoka, MO R+53
- Baldwin, LA D+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.