Baxter is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Baxter typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baxter, ~11% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baxter compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baxter leans more Republican than 17 of 124 neighbors.
Baxter runs about 37 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Baxter. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+82) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Baxter leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baxter, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in Baxter are family households, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Baxter, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Baxter looks the way it does
Turnout in Baxter sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Loyall, KY R+61
- Rosspoint, KY R+76
- Bledsoe, KY R+85
- Harlan, KY R+61
- Dayhoit, KY R+75
- Ages-Brookside, KY R+80
- Grays Knob, KY R+76
- Lewis Creek, KY R+83
- Wallins Creek, KY R+77
Cities with Similar Populations
- Marion, SD R+51
- Bell City, LA R+84
- Turners Station, KY R+57
- Middletown Springs, VT R+14
- Virginia City, NV R+37
- Meadow Bridge, WV R+57
- Surrency, GA R+50
- Selma, MO R+50
- Braymer, MO R+57
- Sardis, TN R+77
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.