Middletown Springs leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 83% of adults in Middletown Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middletown Springs, ~35% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middletown Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middletown Springs leans more Republican than 39 of 89 neighbors.
Middletown Springs runs about 46 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Middletown Springs is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Middletown Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middletown Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Middletown Springs votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Middletown Springs runs about 46 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Middletown Springs, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Middletown Springs looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Middletown Springs own their home, about 8 points above the Vermont average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Poultney, VT R+24
- Wells, VT R+23
- Tinmouth, VT R+14
- Poultney, VT R+19
- Clarendon, VT R+19
- Wallingford, VT R+15
- West Rutland, VT R+20
- Hampton, NY R+42
- North Pawlet, VT R+10
- Middle Granville, NY R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Marion, SD R+51
- Sardis, TN R+77
- Baxter, KY R+68
- Buffalo, IA R+26
- Virginia City, NV R+37
- Meadow Bridge, WV R+57
- Selma, MO R+50
- Braymer, MO R+57
- Bell City, LA R+84
- Turners Station, KY R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.