Bay Minette leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Bay Minette typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bay Minette, ~20% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bay Minette compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bay Minette leans more Republican than 11 of 47 neighbors.
Bay Minette runs about 4 points more Republican than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bay Minette. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Bay Minette leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bay Minette, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bay Minette votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, well above the Alabama average of 19%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bay Minette, AL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bay Minette looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bay Minette is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Bay Minette report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Bay Minette have completed high school, below 76% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carpenter, AL R+68
- Whitehouse Forks, AL R+61
- Blacksher, AL R+69
- Hurricane, AL R+55
- Phillipsville, AL R+88
- Dyas, AL R+76
- Vaughn, AL R+64
- Stapleton, AL R+61
- Bromley, AL R+66
- Rabun, AL R+78
Cities with Similar Populations
- Goshen, NY R+9
- New Hope, PA D+16
- Delhi, CA R+5
- Sharon, PA D+4
- Kittanning, PA R+49
- South Farmingdale, NY R+26
- Hillsdale, MI R+31
- Cutlerville, MI D+9
- Carnot-Moon, PA D+9
- West Carrollton, OH R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.