Carnot-Moon leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Carnot-Moon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carnot-Moon, ~44% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carnot-Moon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carnot-Moon leans more Democratic than 160 of 216 neighbors.
Carnot-Moon runs about 11 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carnot-Moon. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the north side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Carnot-Moon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carnot-Moon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 70% of residents in Carnot-Moon live in densely developed areas, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Carnot-Moon sits in the top quarter (about 47%, above 92% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Carnot-Moon have never been married, above 93% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Carnot-Moon, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Carnot-Moon looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Carnot-Moon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Carnot-Moon have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Coraopolis, PA R+2
- Edgeworth, PA D+23
- Crescent, PA R+13
- Glen Osborne, PA D+16
- Coraopolis Heights, PA R+9
- Leetsdale, PA D+11
- Sewickley, PA D+15
- South Heights, PA R+17
- Sewickley Heights, PA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hillsdale, MI R+31
- Kittanning, PA R+49
- Sharon, PA D+4
- Delhi, CA R+5
- New Hope, PA D+16
- Holiday City-Berkeley, NJ R+26
- Bay Minette, AL R+35
- Goshen, NY R+9
- Fortuna, CA D+8
- South Farmingdale, NY R+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.