Bayfield leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Bayfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayfield, ~39% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bayfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bayfield leans more Republican than 6 of 15 neighbors.
Bayfield runs about 22 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Bayfield is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bayfield. The southeast side is the most split-leaning (R+30) and the north side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Bayfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bayfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bayfield votes against the grain of Colorado. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Bayfield runs about 22 points more Republican.
Adult tooth loss and voter turnout
Places with a low adult tooth-loss rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bayfield, CO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Tooth loss does not drive turnout; it reflects age, income, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Bayfield looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Bayfield have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gem Village, CO R+26
- Vallecito, CO R+5
- Oxford, CO R+8
- Ignacio, CO R+18
- Trimble, CO D+29
- Piedra, CO R+28
- Durango, CO D+28
- Tiffany, CO R+38
- Hermosa, CO R+4
- Arboles, CO R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Anadarko, OK R+24
- Kentwood, LA R+30
- Newton Highlands, MA D+62
- Glenn Dale, MD D+71
- Welcome, SC D+6
- Ocean View, DE R+7
- Lincroft, NJ R+25
- Pinehurst, MA R+4
- Winston, OR R+37
- Alamo Heights, TX D+7
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.