Vallecito is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Vallecito typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vallecito, ~41% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vallecito compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vallecito leans more Republican than 4 of 12 neighbors.
Vallecito runs about 16 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Vallecito is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vallecito. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Vallecito leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vallecito, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Vallecito votes against the grain of Colorado. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Vallecito runs about 16 points more Republican.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Vallecito, CO does.
Why turnout in Vallecito looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Vallecito own their home, about 19 points above the Colorado average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Vallecito have completed high school, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bayfield, CO R+11
- Gem Village, CO R+26
- Trimble, CO D+29
- Hermosa, CO R+4
- Oxford, CO R+8
- Piedra, CO R+28
- Durango, CO D+28
- Tacoma, CO D+10
- Ignacio, CO R+18
- Tiffany, CO R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Upper Greenwood Lake, NJ R+21
- Urbana, MO R+67
- Weems, VA Even
- Beckville, TX R+66
- Christoval, TX R+79
- Garrison, KY R+69
- Maple Bluff, WI D+44
- Milan, NH R+37
- Jacobsburg, OH R+57
- Butternut, WI R+38
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.