Bear Creek is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Bear Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bear Creek, ~9% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bear Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bear Creek leans more Republican than 18 of 54 neighbors.
Bear Creek runs about 33 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Bear Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bear Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Bear Creek live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Arkansas average of 13%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bear Creek, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bear Creek looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bear Creek is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Canaan, AR R+66
- Snowball, AR R+62
- Witts Springs, AR R+63
- Tilly, AR R+65
- Chimes, AR R+64
- Rumley, AR R+66
- Marshall, AR R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Goldbond, VA R+54
- Smithville, WV R+69
- Junction City, SD R+52
- Palisades, WA R+53
- Garwood, MO R+65
- Vernon, TN R+71
- Panco, KY R+81
- Plunketville, OK R+82
- Shorewood-Tower Hills-Harbert, MI D+16
- Waldrop, VA R+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.