Beaver Bay leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Beaver Bay typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Beaver Bay, ~26% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Beaver Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Beaver Bay leans more Republican than 10 of 13 neighbors.
Beaver Bay runs about 13 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Beaver Bay is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Beaver Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Beaver Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Beaver Bay votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Beaver Bay runs about 13 points more Republican.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Beaver Bay, MN does.
Why turnout in Beaver Bay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Beaver Bay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Silver Bay, MN R+8
- Lax Lake, MN R+7
- East Beaver Bay, MN R+8
- Finland, MN R+4
- Little Marais, MN R+4
- Whyte, MN R+7
- Wales, MN R+12
- Highland, MN R+12
- Murphy City, MN D+5
- Waldo, MN R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Staley Crossroads, VA R+60
- Linnton, OR D+28
- Patterson, TN R+46
- Motley, KY R+51
- Marco, IN R+62
- Maness, VA R+67
- Boulder City, MO R+72
- Clio, IA R+58
- Mount Ephraim, OH R+62
- South Bend, TX R+82
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.