Little Marais is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Little Marais typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Little Marais, ~28% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Little Marais compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Little Marais leans more Republican than 6 of 10 neighbors.
Little Marais runs about 8 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole.
Why Little Marais leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Little Marais. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Little Marais, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Little Marais looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Little Marais sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Little Marais sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Finland, MN R+4
- Lax Lake, MN R+7
- Silver Bay, MN R+8
- Schroeder, MN D+25
- Murphy City, MN D+5
- Beaver Bay, MN R+8
- East Beaver Bay, MN R+8
- Tofte, MN D+28
- Isabella, MN D+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zook, KS R+59
- Shadyside, MI R+56
- Gowdy, IN R+62
- Englewood, MO R+29
- Drewsey, OR R+61
- Johnsburg, MN R+41
- Roanoke, NY R+38
- Lime Creek, MN R+55
- St. Rosalie, LA R+44
- Claysville, IN R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.