Belfair is a Democratic stronghold. About 93% of voters here vote Democratic and 7% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Belfair typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belfair, ~51% vote Democratic, ~4% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belfair compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Belfair is the most Democratic-leaning.
Belfair runs about 108 points more Democratic than Louisiana as a whole. Louisiana leans Republican overall, while Belfair is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Belfair leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belfair, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Belfair is fewer than 1%, about 72 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 58% of adults in Belfair have never been married, above 91% of neighborhoods. Belfair runs against the grain of Louisiana, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Belfair, Baton Rouge, LA does.
Why turnout in Belfair looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 47% of adults in Belfair report food insecurity, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Belfair have completed high school, below 86% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Belfair sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Mid City North, Baton Rouge, LA D+84
- Lobdell-Woodale, Baton Rouge, LA D+66
- Garden District, Baton Rouge, LA D+63
- Mid City South, Baton Rouge, LA D+5
- Highlands-Perkins, Baton Rouge, LA D+22
- Scotlandville, Baton Rouge, LA D+84
- Greenwell Springs-Central Area, Baton Rouge, LA D+35
- Park Forest-Louisiana North, Baton Rouge, LA D+45
- Broadmoor-Sherwood, Baton Rouge, LA D+22
- Airline-Jefferson, Baton Rouge, LA R+8
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Montclair, Augusta, GA Even
- Glynlea-Grove Park, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Murray Hill, Milwaukee, WI D+64
- Upper Rockridge, Oakland, CA D+72
- Vanderbilt-West End, Nashville, TN D+54
- Goldenwest, Huntington Beach, CA D+6
- Northgate, College Station, TX D+35
- Tradition, Port St. Lucie, FL R+14
- Midtown-Nashville, Nashville, TN D+32
- Eastown, Grand Rapids, MI D+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.