Midtown-Nashville leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Midtown-Nashville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midtown-Nashville, ~27% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midtown-Nashville compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midtown-Nashville leans more Democratic than 6 of 24 neighbors.
Midtown-Nashville runs about 62 points more Democratic than Tennessee as a whole. Tennessee leans Republican overall, while Midtown-Nashville is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Midtown-Nashville. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+49) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+22), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Midtown-Nashville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midtown-Nashville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Midtown-Nashville live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Midtown-Nashville sits in the top quarter (about 77%, above 95% of neighborhoods). Midtown-Nashville runs against the grain of Tennessee, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Midtown-Nashville, Nashville, TN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Midtown-Nashville looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 83% of households in Midtown-Nashville rent, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Midtown-Nashville sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Vanderbilt-West End, Nashville, TN D+54
- Edgehill, Nashville, TN D+64
- The Gulch, Nashville, TN D+11
- Bellmont Hillsboro, Nashville, TN D+51
- Fisk-Meharry, Nashville, TN D+70
- Downtown Nashville, Nashville, TN D+50
- Hillsboro West End, Nashville, TN D+45
- Cherokee Park, Nashville, TN D+44
- Melrose, Nashville, TN D+41
- Southside, Nashville, TN D+74
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Eastown, Grand Rapids, MI D+56
- Indian Hills, Grand Prairie, TX D+10
- Northgate, College Station, TX D+35
- Upper Rockridge, Oakland, CA D+72
- Murray Hill, Milwaukee, WI D+64
- Glynlea-Grove Park, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Culebra Park, San Antonio, TX D+27
- Marlyville, New Orleans, LA D+50
- Eastlake, Seattle, WA D+76
- Howard Park, Gwynn Oak, MD D+85
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.