Big Lake is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Big Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Big Lake, ~39% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Big Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Big Lake leans more Democratic than 36 of 56 neighbors.
Big Lake runs about 15 points more Republican than Washington as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Big Lake. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Big Lake leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Big Lake. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Big Lake, WA sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Big Lake looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Big Lake have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rexville, WA D+9
- Mount Vernon, WA D+10
- Conway, WA R+5
- La Conner, WA D+25
- Burlington, WA Even
- Bay View, WA R+12
- Sterling, WA R+10
- Clear Lake, WA R+17
- Lake McMurray, WA R+5
- East Stanwood, WA R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Howardwick, TX R+82
- Hartsburg, IL R+58
- Seville, GA R+74
- Torbert, LA R+72
- Centertown, TN R+70
- Wolf, KY R+62
- Worcester, PA D+14
- Wright, KS R+70
- Rolinda, CA R+31
- Fletcher, VT R+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.