Blackwater is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Blackwater typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blackwater, ~12% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blackwater compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Blackwater leans more Republican than 33 of 42 neighbors.
Blackwater runs about 48 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Blackwater leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blackwater, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Blackwater sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 9 points above the Missouri average of 87%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Blackwater are family households, above 82% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Blackwater, MO sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Blackwater looks the way it does
Turnout in Blackwater sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nelson, MO R+65
- Lamine, MO R+65
- Pilot Grove, MO R+61
- Arrow Rock, MO R+62
- Pleasant Green, MO R+67
- Napton, MO R+56
- Marshall Junction, MO R+66
- Lisbon, MO R+61
- Franklin, MO R+61
- Speed, MO R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Parryville, PA R+47
- Midlothian, MD R+25
- Jump, OH R+67
- Deltana, AK R+43
- Vaughn, WA R+8
- Brookside, NJ R+3
- East Rochester, PA R+16
- Leesville, IN R+62
- Sagola, MI R+38
- Spring Hill, MS R+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.