Midlothian leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Midlothian typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midlothian, ~26% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midlothian compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Midlothian leans more Republican than 3 of 106 neighbors.
Midlothian runs about 54 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Midlothian is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Midlothian. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+2) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+64), a spread of about 66 points.
Why Midlothian leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midlothian, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Midlothian votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Midlothian runs about 54 points more Republican.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Midlothian, MD sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Midlothian looks the way it does
Turnout in Midlothian sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Frostburg, MD R+19
- Finzel, MD R+57
- Carlos, MD R+48
- Clarysville, MD R+45
- Mount Savage, MD R+56
- Pocahontas, PA R+73
- Midland, MD R+54
- Lonaconing, MD R+59
- Pleasant Union, PA R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fearrington, NC R+8
- Vaughn, WA R+8
- Leesville, IN R+62
- Tullos, LA R+88
- Elimsport, PA R+70
- Parryville, PA R+47
- Dunlow, WV R+71
- Spring Hill, MS R+5
- Cash Corner, ME D+47
- Jump, OH R+67
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.