Blue Jay leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Blue Jay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blue Jay, ~30% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blue Jay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Blue Jay leans more Republican than 26 of 58 neighbors.
Blue Jay runs about 36 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Blue Jay is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Blue Jay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blue Jay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Blue Jay votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 67%, modestly above the California average of 58%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Blue Jay runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Blue Jay, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Blue Jay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Blue Jay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Crest Park, CA R+19
- Lake Arrowhead, CA R+24
- Twin Peaks, CA R+23
- Rimforest, CA R+18
- Skyforest, CA R+18
- Cedar Glen, CA R+32
- Crestline, CA R+10
- Cedarpines Park, CA R+20
- Running Springs, CA R+27
- Smiley Park, CA R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pinedale, AZ R+61
- Iliff, CO R+71
- Stillhouse Springs, MO R+64
- Danbury, NH R+8
- Switzer, WV R+68
- Forksville, PA R+62
- Tehuacana, TX R+49
- Harlan, MI R+44
- Oakdale, WI R+40
- Goodman, AL R+89
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.