Bonita is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Bonita typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bonita, ~9% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bonita compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bonita leans more Republican than 16 of 34 neighbors.
Bonita runs about 63 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Bonita leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bonita, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Bonita live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the Texas average of 35%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Bonita, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Bonita looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bonita is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hardy, TX R+78
- Nocona Hills, TX R+76
- St. Jo, TX R+69
- Nocona, TX R+65
- Montague, TX R+77
- Illinois Bend, TX R+77
- Spanish Fort, TX R+75
- Petersburg, OK R+71
- Leon, OK R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Meadowbrook, WV R+57
- Burdett, KS R+71
- Deaver, WY R+77
- Jenkinjones, WV R+63
- Pinetop, AZ D+23
- Kasoag, NY R+51
- Outingdale, CA R+34
- Sand Springs, IA R+40
- Ogden Center, MI R+49
- Barnes, KS R+71
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.