Outingdale leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Outingdale typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Outingdale, ~18% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Outingdale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Outingdale leans more Republican than 44 of 51 neighbors.
Outingdale runs about 54 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Outingdale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Outingdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Outingdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Outingdale votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Outingdale runs about 54 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Outingdale, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Outingdale looks the way it does
Turnout in Outingdale sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nashville, CA R+36
- River Pines, CA R+34
- El Dorado, CA R+30
- Diamond Springs, CA R+29
- Mount Aukum, CA R+30
- Somerset, CA R+31
- Fiddletown, CA R+29
- Placerville, CA R+21
- Plymouth, CA R+38
- Shingle Springs, CA R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- La Paz Junction, IN R+56
- Leyden, MA D+9
- Uptonville, TN R+24
- Golf Manor, NJ R+14
- Pinetop, AZ D+23
- Limedale, AR R+62
- Shandelee, NY R+4
- Bonita, TX R+76
- Jenkinjones, WV R+63
- Westhoff, TX R+71
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.