Bowling Green, KY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Bowling Green

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Bowling Green leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Bowling Green typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bowling Green, ~27% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Bowling Green compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Bowling Green is the least Republican-leaning.

Bowling Green runs about 19 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bowling Green. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+33), a spread of about 45 points.

Why Bowling Green leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bowling Green, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Bowling Green votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 67%, far above the Kentucky average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Bowling Green, KY does.

Why turnout in Bowling Green looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 47% of households in Bowling Green rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.