Breckenridge leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Breckenridge typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Breckenridge, ~26% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Breckenridge compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Breckenridge leans more Republican than 29 of 57 neighbors.
Breckenridge runs about 38 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Breckenridge leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Breckenridge, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Breckenridge votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 24%, modestly below the Michigan average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Breckenridge sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 77% of cities).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Breckenridge, MI sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Breckenridge looks the way it does
Turnout in Breckenridge sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wheeler, MI R+47
- Ryan, MI R+43
- North Star, MI R+43
- St. Louis, MI R+17
- Merrill, MI R+44
- Rathbone, MI R+51
- Iva, MI R+40
- Alma, MI R+14
- Sickles, MI R+49
- St. Elmo, MI R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stirling, NJ R+2
- Glenburn Center, ME R+27
- Tiger, GA R+56
- Valliant, OK R+69
- Sears, MI R+46
- Solon Springs, WI R+15
- Des Arc, AR R+62
- South Congaree, SC R+36
- Lyndhurst, VA R+45
- Hadley, NY R+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.