Wheeler leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Wheeler typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wheeler, ~23% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wheeler compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wheeler leans more Republican than 44 of 57 neighbors.
Wheeler runs about 45 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Wheeler leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Wheeler. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Wheeler, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Wheeler looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Wheeler have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Breckenridge, MI R+40
- Ryan, MI R+43
- Merrill, MI R+44
- North Star, MI R+43
- Rathbone, MI R+51
- St. Louis, MI R+17
- Iva, MI R+40
- St. Elmo, MI R+42
- Poseyville, MI R+36
- Hemlock, MI R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Eure, NC R+45
- Midville, GA R+6
- Henry, TN R+70
- Watkins, CO R+27
- Asotin, WA R+46
- Adrian, MN R+54
- DeSoto, IA R+32
- Head of the Harbor, NY R+16
- South Orrington, ME R+9
- Valles Mines, MO R+54
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.