Buckeye leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Buckeye typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buckeye, ~18% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buckeye compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buckeye leans more Republican than 3 of 28 neighbors.
Buckeye runs about 22 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buckeye. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 52 points.
Why Buckeye leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buckeye, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Buckeye drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Buckeye sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 82% of cities).
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Buckeye, TX does.
Why turnout in Buckeye looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Buckeye is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 9 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 28% of households in Buckeye rent, compared to around 12% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bay City, TX R+20
- Markham, TX R+50
- Wadsworth, TX R+67
- Caney, TX R+38
- Van Vleck, TX R+37
- Elmaton, TX R+72
- Midfield, TX R+54
- Blessing, TX R+54
- Magnet, TX R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Agra, KS R+79
- Farmer, MO R+71
- Fairport, MI R+28
- Alma, WV R+70
- Cape May Point, NJ D+4
- Hobarton, IA R+49
- Oaks, LA R+38
- Stanton, WI R+33
- Hemlock Grove, OH R+60
- North Parsonfield, ME R+28
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.