Buena Vista leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Buena Vista typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buena Vista, ~22% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buena Vista compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buena Vista leans more Republican than 41 of 51 neighbors.
Buena Vista runs about 62 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Buena Vista is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Buena Vista leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buena Vista, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Buena Vista votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Buena Vista runs about 62 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Buena Vista, CA sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Buena Vista looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Buena Vista have completed high school, about 11 points above the California average of 86%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ione, CA R+38
- Camanche North Shore, CA R+45
- Sunnybrook, CA R+40
- Campo Seco, CA R+49
- Carbondale, CA R+52
- Wallace, CA R+49
- Burson, CA R+44
- Amador City, CA R+29
- Jackson, CA R+32
- Paloma, CA R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Douglas, NE R+46
- Grenville, SD R+31
- Ravenscroft, TN R+68
- Ledger, MT R+57
- Greenway, AR R+67
- Cedar Hill, NY D+9
- Du Pont, GA R+59
- Saltillo, PA R+70
- Pyland, MS R+53
- Johnson, IN R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.