Wallace leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Wallace typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wallace, ~15% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wallace compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wallace leans more Republican than 39 of 44 neighbors.
Wallace runs about 69 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Wallace is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wallace. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Wallace leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wallace, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Wallace votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Wallace runs about 69 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Wallace are family households, above 77% of cities.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a never-married-heavy adult population tend to turn out at a lower rate; Wallace, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Wallace looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 5% of homes in Wallace have more than one occupant per room, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Burson, CA R+44
- Camanche North Shore, CA R+45
- Clements, CA R+51
- Valley Springs, CA R+43
- Campo Seco, CA R+49
- Rancho Calaveras, CA R+38
- Buena Vista, CA R+42
- Lockeford, CA R+27
- Ione, CA R+38
- Linden, CA R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Harlansburg, PA R+51
- North Orwell, PA R+62
- Nelson, MN R+52
- San Luis, CO D+41
- Tyrone, KY R+48
- Interlaken, NJ R+11
- Pactolus, KY R+62
- Lake Norden, SD R+70
- Granville Center, MA R+17
- Saulsbury, WV R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.