Buffalo is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Buffalo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buffalo, ~10% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buffalo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buffalo leans more Republican than 61 of 92 neighbors.
Buffalo runs about 53 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Buffalo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buffalo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Buffalo, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 9% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Ohio average of 23%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 93% of residents in Buffalo drive to work alone, above 97% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 91% of households in Buffalo are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a never-married-heavy adult population tend to turn out at a lower rate; Buffalo, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Buffalo looks the way it does
Turnout in Buffalo sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Derwent, OH R+54
- Pleasant City, OH R+61
- Senecaville, OH R+62
- Byesville, OH R+52
- Kipling, OH R+59
- Cumberland, OH R+63
- Ava, OH R+62
- Mount Ephraim, OH R+62
- Kennonsburg, OH R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grover, CO R+72
- Lake Marcel-Stillwater, WA D+27
- Aleppo, PA R+58
- Willow, NY D+74
- Irwin, VA R+21
- Robat, SC R+61
- Swain, NY R+56
- Whiting, ME R+28
- New Gottland, KS R+61
- Harmony Grove, TN R+69
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.