Buffalo is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Buffalo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buffalo, ~12% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buffalo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buffalo leans more Republican than 10 of 32 neighbors.
Buffalo runs about 51 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buffalo. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Buffalo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buffalo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in Buffalo hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Buffalo, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Buffalo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Buffalo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 5 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nineveh, TX R+65
- Newby, TX R+69
- Keechi, TX R+45
- Jewett, TX R+68
- Flo, TX R+63
- Donie, TX R+69
- Lanely, TX R+61
- Concord, TX R+71
- Dew, TX R+71
- Farrar, TX R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sutton, WV R+54
- San Manuel, AZ R+26
- Grundy Center, IA R+43
- Heiskell, TN R+62
- Columbia City, OR R+22
- Catawissa, MO R+51
- Orangeville, PA R+46
- Clayton, NY R+12
- Harwich, MA D+23
- Black Hawk, CO D+15
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.