Butler leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Butler typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Butler, ~20% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Butler compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Butler leans more Republican than 21 of 41 neighbors.
Butler runs about 23 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Butler. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 53 points.
Why Butler leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Butler, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 80% of households in Butler are family households, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Butler, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Butler looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Butler is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Elgin, TX R+10
- Mc Dade, TX R+42
- Lund, TX R+15
- Camp Swift, TX R+14
- Coupland, TX R+28
- Manda, TX D+4
- Phelan, TX R+26
- Lexington, TX R+73
- Paige, TX R+50
- Thrall, TX R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gum Flat, TN R+56
- Quantico, VA D+38
- Vienna, LA R+82
- La Barge, WY R+81
- Thomaston, AL D+21
- Northport, WA R+41
- Riverview Estates, KY R+51
- Shades Glen, PA R+37
- Bell City, MO R+69
- Coalmont, IN R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.