Caddo Valley leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Caddo Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caddo Valley, ~16% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caddo Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caddo Valley leans more Republican than 5 of 52 neighbors.
Caddo Valley runs about 9 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Caddo Valley. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+2) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Caddo Valley leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Caddo Valley. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Caddo Valley, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Caddo Valley looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 32% of households in Caddo Valley rent, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Arkadelphia, AR R+4
- Friendship, AR R+73
- DeGray, AR R+53
- Witherspoon, AR R+66
- Caney, AR R+70
- Gum Springs, AR R+30
- Donaldson, AR R+74
- Joan, AR R+22
- Central, AR R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hatcher, WV R+80
- Girard, GA R+13
- Victor, WV R+58
- Hartford, IA R+39
- Milltown, NC R+61
- Waubay, SD R+38
- Herman, NE R+55
- Lisbon, IL R+46
- Tebbetts, MO R+57
- Lulu, MI R+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.