Carmel is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Carmel typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carmel, ~31% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carmel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carmel sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 11 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 43 leaning the other way.
Carmel runs about 20 points more Democratic than Louisiana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carmel. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Carmel leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Carmel. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Carmel, LA sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Carmel looks the way it does
Turnout in Carmel sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Naborton, LA Even
- Holly, LA R+14
- Mansfield, LA D+44
- Kingston, LA R+21
- South Mansfield, LA D+39
- Grand Bayou, LA D+21
- Grand Cane, LA R+29
- Wemple, LA Even
- Frierson, LA R+48
- Crichton, LA R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Flemingtown, VA R+65
- Peaks Mill, KY R+52
- Rose City, MN R+56
- Colton, WA R+42
- Stottville, NY R+10
- Stout, TX R+78
- Scipio, OK R+70
- Glenada, OR R+2
- Woodruff, AZ R+55
- Elkatawa, KY R+62
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.