Carmichael leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Carmichael typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carmichael, ~51% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carmichael compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carmichael leans more Democratic than 36 of 45 neighbors.
Carmichael runs about 46 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Carmichael is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Carmichael leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carmichael, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 49% of residents in Carmichael are Black or African American, about 13 points above the Mississippi average of 36%. Carmichael runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Carmichael, MS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Carmichael looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Carmichael own their home, about 16 points above the Mississippi average of 77%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Carmichael sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Utica, MS D+17
- Chapel Hill, MS R+8
- Jack, MS D+8
- Reedtown, MS D+40
- Learned, MS R+44
- Thompsonville, MS R+14
- Dentville, MS D+6
- Cayuga, MS D+23
- Hubbard, MS D+21
- Morning Star, MS D+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Young Hickory, OH R+62
- Redclyffe, PA R+56
- Decker, MT Even
- Pinckneyville, MS D+45
- Wilroads Gardens, KS R+32
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.