Carp leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Carp typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carp, ~18% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carp compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carp leans more Republican than 5 of 7 neighbors.
Carp runs about 45 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Carp is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carp. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Carp leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carp, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carp votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Carp runs about 45 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Carp sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities).
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Carp, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Carp looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Carp is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clementson, MN R+36
- Baudette, MN R+37
- Pitt, MN R+38
- Graceton, MN R+45
- Birchdale, MN R+39
- Hackett, MN R+43
- Williams, MN R+44
- Waskish, MN R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Odra, LA R+87
- Utting, AZ R+55
- Rio Chiquito, NM D+29
- Kiva, MI R+27
- Tuskeegee, NC R+58
- Denton, MO R+74
- Roxbury, VA R+18
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.