Roxbury leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Roxbury typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Roxbury, ~36% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Roxbury compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Roxbury leans more Republican than 39 of 80 neighbors.
Roxbury runs about 24 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Roxbury is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Roxbury. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+30), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Roxbury leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Roxbury, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Roxbury votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Roxbury runs about 24 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Roxbury are family households, above 77% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Roxbury, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Roxbury looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Roxbury is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Providence Forge, VA R+12
- Ruthville, VA D+26
- Charles City, VA D+9
- Holdcroft, VA R+17
- Tallysville, VA R+20
- Lanexa, VA R+27
- New Kent, VA R+29
- Upper Brandon, VA D+20
- Westover, VA D+35
- Quinton, VA R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Seville, IL R+49
- Keyapaha, SD R+31
- Saline City, IN R+62
- Espanola, WA R+35
- Norman, GA R+27
- Kiva, MI R+27
- Cedarvale, NM R+49
- Lovewell, KS R+74
- Maples Mill, IL R+46
- Utting, AZ R+55
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.