Carson City leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Carson City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carson City, ~13% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carson City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carson City leans more Republican than 29 of 61 neighbors.
Carson City runs about 43 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Carson City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carson City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 77% of households in Carson City are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Carson City sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 88% of cities).
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Carson City, MI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Carson City looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 21% of adults in Carson City report food insecurity, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Carson City have completed high school, below 79% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hubbardston, MI R+48
- Vickeryville, MI R+51
- New Haven Center, MI R+50
- Middleton, MI R+48
- Crystal, MI R+46
- Palo, MI R+49
- Matherton, MI R+46
- Sumner, MI R+48
- Perrinton, MI R+46
- Sheridan, MI R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Temple, PA R+8
- Pittstown, NJ R+14
- Shipshewana, IN R+67
- Jersey Village, TX R+11
- Tylertown, MS R+21
- Bath, MI R+4
- Ocean City, MD R+10
- Thermalito, CA R+25
- Salida, CO D+19
- West Salem, WI R+5
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.