Jersey Village leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Jersey Village typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jersey Village, ~30% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jersey Village compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jersey Village leans more Republican than 19 of 42 neighbors.
Politically, Jersey Village sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jersey Village. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+37), a spread of about 61 points.
Why Jersey Village leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jersey Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Jersey Village votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 99%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Jersey Village, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Jersey Village looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Jersey Village is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Spring Valley Village, TX Even
- Spring Valley, TX R+19
- Cypress, TX R+14
- Hedwig Village, TX R+29
- Hilshire Village, TX R+16
- Bunker Hill Village, TX R+29
- Hunters Creek Village, TX R+41
- Piney Point Village, TX R+13
- Houston, TX D+3
- Aldine, TX D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tylertown, MS R+21
- Pittstown, NJ R+14
- Shipshewana, IN R+67
- Carson City, MI R+45
- Temple, PA R+8
- Bath, MI R+4
- Thermalito, CA R+25
- Fort Belvoir, VA D+21
- Caribou, ME R+21
- Thornville, OH R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.