Carter leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Carter typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carter, ~16% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carter compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carter leans more Republican than 1 of 6 neighbors.
Carter runs about 30 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Carter leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carter, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Carter live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Montana average of 13%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Carter, MT does.
Why turnout in Carter looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Carter have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Square Butte, MT R+50
- Fort Benton, MT R+44
- Floweree, MT R+55
- Portage, MT R+57
- Highwood, MT R+51
- Loma, MT R+53
- Shonkin, MT R+51
- Black Eagle, MT R+35
- Wayne, MT R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stouts Mills, WV R+66
- West Florence, OH R+62
- Edson, KS R+84
- Winchester, WI R+24
- Bryceland, LA R+6
- Seneca Hill, NY R+20
- Bryant, IL R+43
- Cisna Run, PA R+66
- Roberdo, NC R+26
- Sanders, MT R+71
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.