Case is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Case typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Case, ~17% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Case compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Case leans more Republican than 25 of 60 neighbors.
Case runs about 40 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Case. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+54), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Case leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Case, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Case live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Case, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Case looks the way it does
Turnout in Case sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McKittrick, MO R+54
- Berger, MO R+64
- Hermann, MO R+50
- Bernheimer, MO R+56
- Big Spring, MO R+60
- Starkenburg, MO R+63
- Etlah, MO R+65
- Jonesburg, MO R+59
- Treloar, MO R+54
- Rhineland, MO R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Paxtonville, PA R+71
- Lafox, IL R+6
- Pine Creek, MI R+42
- Hegg, WI R+25
- West Washington, ME R+30
- Monero, NM D+33
- Kincaid, KS R+65
- King And Queen Court House, VA R+34
- Milford Center, NY R+24
- Talmage, NE R+55
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.