Big Spring is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Big Spring typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Big Spring, ~12% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Big Spring compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Big Spring leans more Republican than 27 of 55 neighbors.
Big Spring runs about 41 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Big Spring leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Big Spring, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Big Spring, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Big Spring, MO does.
Why turnout in Big Spring looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 34% of households in Big Spring rent, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 97% of adults in Big Spring have completed high school, above 88% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Big Spring sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rhineland, MO R+63
- Starkenburg, MO R+63
- New Florence, MO R+57
- McKittrick, MO R+54
- Case, MO R+58
- Danville, MO R+59
- High Hill, MO R+63
- Hermann, MO R+50
- Mineola, MO R+57
- Bluffton, MO R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Agar, SD R+68
- Upper Poplar, NC R+74
- Kellersburg, PA R+67
- Mount Zion, WI R+31
- Branyan, MS R+84
- Morrisvale, WV R+67
- Kelly Point, PA R+49
- Truitt, MS D+29
- Garland, MO R+65
- Meinert, MO R+73
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.