Caswell Beach leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Caswell Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caswell Beach, ~31% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caswell Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caswell Beach leans more Republican than 10 of 26 neighbors.
Caswell Beach runs about 21 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Why Caswell Beach leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Caswell Beach. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Caswell Beach, NC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Caswell Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Caswell Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Caswell Beach own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Caswell Beach have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Southport, NC R+23
- St. James, NC R+27
- Oak Island, NC R+30
- Bald Head Island, NC R+7
- Varnum, NC R+30
- Boiling Spring Lakes, NC R+43
- Bolivia, NC R+34
- Varnamtown, NC R+50
- Kure Beach, NC R+12
- Lennon Crossroads, NC R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glen Flora, TX R+13
- Green Hills, PA R+45
- Glendale Springs, NC R+57
- West Mills, ME R+30
- Baileyton, TN R+65
- Ripley, IL R+54
- Burdine, KY R+66
- Woden, IA R+50
- Vaughnsville, OH R+71
- Flora, TX R+78
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.