Caswell County leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Caswell County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caswell County, ~28% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caswell County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Caswell County leans more Republican than 9 of 13 neighbors.
Caswell County runs about 20 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Caswell County. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+39) and the northeast side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Caswell County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caswell County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 9% of residents in Caswell County live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the North Carolina average of 27%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Caswell County, NC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Caswell County looks the way it does
Turnout in Caswell County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Danville City, VA D+32
- Person County, NC R+24
- Alamance County, NC R+4
- Rockingham County, NC R+31
- Pittsylvania County, VA R+39
- Orange County, NC D+48
- Martinsville City, VA D+22
- Halifax County, VA R+19
- Guilford County, NC D+30
- Henry County, VA R+31
Counties with Similar Populations
- Klickitat County, WA R+11
- Allen Parish, LA R+48
- Emanuel County, GA R+35
- Franklin County, IN R+63
- Johnson County, KY R+66
- Columbia County, AR R+18
- Ouachita County, AR R+14
- Rockbridge County, VA R+36
- Mercer County, KY R+52
- Tattnall County, GA R+43
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.