Centerville is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Centerville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centerville, ~10% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centerville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Centerville leans more Republican than 21 of 34 neighbors.
Centerville runs about 58 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Centerville. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+75) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+65), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Centerville leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Centerville. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Centerville, TX sits below the national average on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Centerville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Centerville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Concord, TX R+71
- Spring Seat, TX R+73
- Middleton, TX R+74
- Flo, TX R+63
- Leona, TX R+74
- Malvern, TX R+70
- Robbins, TX R+73
- Buffalo, TX R+65
- Elwood, TX R+71
- Nineveh, TX R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Farmer City, IL R+46
- Chassell, MI R+6
- Greene, RI R+20
- Grey Forest, TX R+20
- Pinehurst, ID R+45
- Eldorado, TX R+43
- Schuyler Falls, NY R+19
- Glendale, OH D+16
- Oakwood Hills, IL R+10
- Dillingham, AK D+11
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.