Central Terry is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Central Terry typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central Terry, ~30% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Central Terry compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Central Terry sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 4 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 3 leaning the other way.
Central Terry runs about 23 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole. Montana leans Republican overall, while Central Terry sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Central Terry. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Central Terry leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central Terry, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density pulls a place toward Democrats and a high white share pulls it toward Republicans. In Central Terry the two roughly cancel. Central Terry runs against the grain of Montana, a split-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Central Terry, Billings, MT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Central Terry looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Central Terry sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Sun City, Georgetown, TX R+20
- Broadway-Fillmore, Buffalo, NY D+47
- Red Hook, Brooklyn, NY D+62
- Pilsen, Chicago, IL D+62
- Barton-McFarland, Detroit, MI D+87
- Vistancia, Peoria, AZ R+21
- Cherry Avenue, Tucson, AZ D+33
- Evanston, Cincinnati, OH D+63
- Downtown Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA D+65
- Windsor Spring, Hephzibah, GA D+69
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.