Chaparral, NM Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Chaparral

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Chaparral leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.

 

About 41% of adults in Chaparral typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chaparral, ~18% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Chaparral compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Chaparral leans more Republican than 18 of 19 neighbors.

Chaparral runs about 15 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Chaparral is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Chaparral. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 33 points.

Why Chaparral leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chaparral, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Chaparral hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the New Mexico average of 24%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Chaparral runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Chaparral are family households, above 93% of cities.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Chaparral, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Chaparral looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Chaparral is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 8 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 37% of adults in Chaparral report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 69% of adults in Chaparral have completed high school, below 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.