Canutillo leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Canutillo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Canutillo, ~25% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Canutillo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Canutillo leans more Democratic than 16 of 19 neighbors.
Canutillo runs about 21 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Canutillo is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Canutillo. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Canutillo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Canutillo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 72% of residents in Canutillo live in densely developed areas, about 36 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in Canutillo have never been married, above 88% of cities. Canutillo runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Canutillo, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Canutillo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Canutillo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 74% of adults in Canutillo have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Vinton, TX D+3
- El Paso, NM R+8
- Anthony, TX D+6
- Santa Teresa, NM R+4
- Anthony, NM D+5
- La Union, NM R+5
- Sunland Park, NM D+13
- Berino, NM R+4
- Chamberino, NM Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Villas, FL R+13
- Dexter, MO R+56
- Prichard, AL D+86
- Pleasantville, NY D+10
- Jennings, MO D+85
- Blanchard, OK R+62
- Sandston, VA Even
- Gray, GA R+48
- Toney, AL R+34
- Gibsonville, NC R+8
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.