Chestnut Grove is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Chestnut Grove typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chestnut Grove, ~8% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chestnut Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chestnut Grove leans more Republican than 46 of 47 neighbors.
Chestnut Grove runs about 42 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Chestnut Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chestnut Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Chestnut Grove hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Tennessee average of 22%.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with heavy housing overcrowding tend to turn out at a lower rate; Chestnut Grove, TN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Chestnut Grove looks the way it does
Turnout in Chestnut Grove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Big Rock, TN R+71
- Dover, TN R+64
- Wyatts Chapel, TN R+72
- Bumpus Mills, TN R+70
- Legate, TN R+69
- Indian Mound, TN R+69
- Carlisle, TN R+67
- Stewart, TN R+67
- Donaldson, KY R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Spring Valley, AZ R+40
- Camp Dennison, OH D+4
- Paoli, GA R+60
- Baden, WV R+70
- Fleming-Neon, KY R+67
- Ewell, TX R+69
- Lagrange, ME R+41
- Kettlersville, OH R+78
- Plainview, OR R+45
- Cleversburg, PA R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.