Chestnut Mound, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Chestnut Mound

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Chestnut Mound is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Chestnut Mound typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chestnut Mound, ~10% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Chestnut Mound compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Chestnut Mound leans more Republican than 42 of 75 neighbors.

Chestnut Mound runs about 36 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.

Why Chestnut Mound leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chestnut Mound, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Chestnut Mound, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Chestnut Mound are family households, above 86% of cities.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Chestnut Mound, TN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Chestnut Mound looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Chestnut Mound is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.