Cerro leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Cerro typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cerro, ~32% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cerro compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cerro leans more Democratic than 8 of 15 neighbors.
Cerro runs about 28 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Cerro leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cerro, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 35% of adults in Cerro hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Cerro have never been married, above 93% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Cerro, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Cerro looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cerro is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in Cerro have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Cerro sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Questa, NM D+24
- Amalia, NM D+14
- Red River, NM D+16
- San Cristobal, NM D+25
- Costilla, NM D+26
- Valdez, NM D+54
- Taos Ski Valley, NM D+37
- Arroyo Hondo, NM D+39
- Jaroso, CO D+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lafferty, OH R+58
- Pinnebog, MI R+46
- Myra, TX R+80
- Fall River, KS R+66
- Union, TX R+76
- West Andrews, SC R+15
- Jeffersonville, IL R+73
- Fleming, PA R+28
- Sherman Junction, TX R+59
- Dorchester, TX R+62
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.